Issue 0: Why we follow the money
The thesis behind Yield Theory, and why understanding capital flows beats chasing headlines.
01 — Monthly market research
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blindly.
The macro insight and stock recommendations professionals use to understand where capital is heading. One research letter, every month.
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+99Trusted by 99+ investors · written by humans, zero AI
Capital flowslive
US EQUITIES▲ +2.4%
AI & SEMIS▲ +6.1%
10Y YIELD4.21%
EM CURRENCIES▼ −0.8%
CONGRESS NET BUYS47
Illustrative · Issue 07 in production
Stock recommendations·Politician trades·US markets·International markets·Artificial intelligence·Geopolitics·Interest rates·Central banks·Tariffs & trade·Economic trends·Currencies·Emerging markets·Sector rotation·Stock recommendations·Politician trades·US markets·International markets·Artificial intelligence·Geopolitics·Interest rates·Central banks·Tariffs & trade·Economic trends·Currencies·Emerging markets·Sector rotation·
02 — The difference
Same market. Two very different outcomes.
Acct A — without research✕
- Another headline, another hot tip, another Twitter expert
- Buying after the move has already happened
- A hundred conflicting opinions, no way to weigh them
- Panic selling every dip — there’s no thesis to hold onto
P&L: left to luck
Acct B — with Yield Theory✓
- The full thesis before you buy: catalysts, risks, horizon
- Know why capital is moving before it becomes news
- One clear monthly report instead of a hundred tabs
- Conviction to hold through noise, and a plan to exit
P&L: positioned before the crowd
Illustrative — all investing carries risk.
03 — Inside every issue
Everything that moved the money.
One detailed report a month, plus minor issues whenever the market gives us a reason.
01
Stock recommendations
Specific ideas we’re backing, with the full thesis, catalysts, and risks.
02
Politician trades
What lawmakers are buying and selling, straight from public disclosures.
03
US markets
Where capital is flowing and which sectors lead.
04
International markets
Opportunities and risks beyond the US.
05
Artificial intelligence
Who actually benefits, and which narratives are overhyped.
06
Wars & geopolitics
Conflict, policy, and how each event moves markets.
07
Rates & central banks
The Fed, liquidity, and the cost of money.
08
Tariffs & trade
Supply chains and the shifting trade map.
09
Economic trends
Inflation, growth, currencies, and the cycle.
04 — Why it’s different
Most newsletters tell you what happened. Yield Theory tells you why — what caused it, who benefits, who loses, and which names we’re backing because of it.
A
Human, not machine
Every issue is deeply researched and written by a person. No AI, no filler, no recycled headlines.
B
Conviction over volume
A handful of ideas argued properly beats fifty shallow calls. We publish when there’s something to say.
C
Accountable calls
Open ideas get revisited in print. When a thesis breaks, we say so — following the money cuts both ways.
05 — Membership
One membership.
Everything included.
Whether you’re investing $5,000 or $5 million, better information leads to better decisions.
- Actionable stock recommendations
- Politician trade tracking
- Monthly institutional-style report
- Full archive, unlocked instantly
- US & international markets
- AI & sector deep dives
- Geopolitical intelligence
- Macro, rates & currencies
Founding member−75%
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06 — FAQ
What do the stock recommendations look like?
Not hot tips. Each pick comes with the full thesis: the setup, the catalysts, the risks, a rough time horizon, and what would make us change our mind. Conviction over volume.
What’s your time horizon?
Macro-driven and long-term: months to years, not day trades. We track where capital is heading, not intraday noise.
Do you revisit past calls?
Yes. Open ideas get updated as the picture changes, and we say plainly when a thesis breaks. Following the money means admitting when it moves against us.
How is this different from free newsletters?
Free takes tell you what happened. Yield Theory connects the dots: who’s moving capital, why, and what to do about it, all in one report instead of a hundred conflicting opinions.
I’m outside the US. Is it still useful?
Yes. Every issue covers international and emerging markets, currencies, and global trade alongside the US. Capital is global; so is the coverage.
When do I get my first issue?
Instantly. Subscribing unlocks the full archive right away, and the next monthly issue lands the moment it publishes.
07 — Free to explore
Start with the research, free.
Stock researchAnalysis on 100+ stocks across every sector.Congress tradesWhich lawmakers are buying and selling.Investing glossaryThe language of markets, in plain English.CalculatorsCompound interest, DCA, CAGR, and more.Compare alternativesYield Theory vs the tools you already know.Research archiveRead past issues and free analysis.
Recent issues
Members· locked
Issue 01: Where capital is rotating
The first half of 2026 was not a rally. It was one macro shock and three rotations underneath it: down the AI stack into memory, out of the mega-caps into small caps and Asia, and into the war trade and back out. Plus a Fed that changed regimes while almost nobody was looking. This is the full map.